Association between temperature and mortality: a multi-city time series study in Sichuan Basin, southwest China

Author: Yizhang Xia, Chunli Shi, Yang Li, Shijuan Ruan, Xianyan Jiang, Wei Huang, Yu Chen, Xufang Gao, Rong Xue, Mingjiang Li, Hongying Sun, Xiaojuan Peng, Renqiang Xiang, Jianyu Chen & Li Zhang

Year: 2024

Published in: Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine

There are few multi-city studies on the association between temperature and mortality in basin climates. This study was based on the Sichuan Basin in southwest China to assess the association of basin temperature with non-accidental mortality in the population and with the temperature-related mortality burden. Daily mortality data, meteorological and air pollution data were collected for four cities in the Sichuan Basin of southwest China. We used a two-stage time-series analysis to quantify the association between temperature and non-accidental mortality in each city, and a multivariate meta-analysis was performed to obtain the overall cumulative risk. The attributable fractions (AFs) were calculated to access the mortality burden attributable to non-optimal temperature. Additionally, we performed a stratified analyses by gender, age group, education level, and marital status. Our study suggested that a significant association between non-optimal temperature and non-accidental mortality. Those under 65 years old, females, and those with a low educational level or alternative marriage status had the highest attributable burden.