Extreme heat is back — here’s where it will be the worst

Published: July 24, 2025

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U.S.

Mary Gilbert CNN

 


 

 

This article was originally published by CNN

 

 


 

 

The United States has entered the peak of summer and a heat dome — sealing in all that hot, humid air — is making millions of people feel every bit of it.

 

Some cities could notch their highest temperatures of the year as heat builds from the South to the Midwest this week while humidity drives the heat index, or how hot it will actually feel, well into the triple digits.

 

Heat remains the deadliest form of extreme weather in the US. Globally, heat waves are becoming more frequent, more severe and lasting longer as the world warms due to fossil fuel-driven climate change.

 

Brutal temperatures will stretch from the South through the Midwest on Thursday and also start to push into the East. Thursday could be the new hottest day of the year in cities like Chicago, St. Louis and Memphis. Chicago and St. Louis are expected to soar into the upper 90s while Memphis could flirt with the triple digit mark.

 

Unlike the intense heat wave earlier this summer, this bout of stifling heat isn’t likely to topple hundreds of records. But records don’t need to fall for heat to be incredibly dangerous.

 

A Level 3 of 4 heat risk stretches from the Gulf Coast to Vermont Thursday, and pockets along the Mississippi Valley and Gulf Coast are under a Level 4 of 4 “extreme” risk.

 

The heat will ramp up considerably Thursday in parts of the Ohio Valley and start to reach into the Northeast. Detroit, Cleveland and Cincinnati could come within a degree of or match their hottest day of the year so far, with expected highs in the 90s. These highs are about 10 degrees hotter than what’s typical even in this hottest month of the year.

 

The most intense heat for the East Coast will arrive by Friday, with high temperatures in the middle to upper 90s and a heat index of 100 degrees or more possible for Washington, DC, Philadelphia, New York City and Boston. High temperatures in this range are also up to 10 degrees hotter than typical for these cities.

 

Heat this severe impacts anyone without access to effective cooling or proper hydration, not just vulnerable populations, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. And for those without air conditioning, staying indoors can become deadly during the hottest parts of the day, the agency warns. For those under the highest risk level, the heat dangers are heightened because there will be little to no overnight relief.

US heat risk forecast
This map shows the forecast risk for heat-related health effects within a 24-hour period for each location in the contiguous United States. Darker shades represent higher risk levels.

Data collected twice daily. Last updated July 25, 2025 at 5 a.m. ET
Note: The map shows four risk categories: Minor affects very heat-sensitive people, especially if they’re outdoors without cooling or enough water; Moderate affects sensitive people, could impact some health systems and industries; Major affects anyone without cooling or enough water, likely to impact health systems, industries and infrastructure; and Extreme affects those without cooling or water during prolonged heat with no cool nights, likely to impact most health systems, industries and infrastructure. Areas not shaded represent very low to no risk from heat.
Source: National Weather Service and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Graphic: Byron Manley, Matt Stiles and Renée Rigdon, CNN

 

The heat index — also known as the apparent temperature — will soar to dangerous levels for tens of millions this week.

 

Heat indices soared into the triple digits across the South and parts of the Central Plains on Tuesday and Wednesday.

 

Humid conditions will also prevent temperatures from cooling significantly overnight. It could still be close to 80 degrees in St. Louis by sunrise Thursday — nearly 10 degrees higher than a typical low for July. Chicago is expected to see low temperatures in the upper 70s Thursday morning, a departure from the typical lows in the 60s for this time of year.

 

When overnight temperatures don’t cool down enough to offer relief for overheated bodies, people are at greater risk for heat-related illnesses. Nighttime temperatures are taking the hardest hit from climate change, warming faster than daytime highs.

 

Tracking the “feels like” temperature across the US
Here’s the forecast for 5 p.m. Eastern Time each day.

Notes: Data last checked on July 25, 2025 at 7:18 a.m. ET. Values reflect the forecasted “apparent temperature,” which is the perceived temperature derived from either a combination of temperature and wind (wind chill) or temperature and humidity (heat index) for the indicated time. Colors are based on National Weather Service standards, with temperature ranges adjusted to enhance visual contrast for hot conditions.
Source: National Weather Service
Map: Matt Stiles, CNN

 

Climate change is making this week’s heat wave at least three times more likely for nearly 160 million people, almost half the US population, when compared with a world without fossil fuel emissions, according to an analysis from the climate research nonprofit Climate Central.

 

The heat dome will ease by Saturday for many, replaced by more typical, though still very toasty, late July temperatures.

 

For many in the contiguous US, it’s been sweltering since meteorological summer — June through August — began. The bulk of the heat has been focused on the East, where dozens of locations are so far on track for their hottest summer to date.

 

Many more locales are currently experiencing at least one of their 10-hottest summers to date. The Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Ohio Valley and Midwest have all been literal hotspots.

 

Summer-to-date temperature rankings are valid as of July 17, 2025. CNN Weather

 

Rather than searing daytime temperatures driving the above-average heat in these locations, it’s been many, many instances of too-warm overnight lows making the biggest impact, according to a CNN analysis of data from NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center.

 

The Plains have so far dodged this really hot summer. Much of the West has too, with a few exceptions: Seattle is having its fifth-warmest summer to date while Portland is hovering around seventh-highest.

 

Tiny pockets of cooler-than-normal summers are few and far between in the US, but the San Francisco Bay Area in California is one of them. Parts of the Bay Area — including Oakland and Fremont — are experiencing one of their coolest summers to date.

 

August will likely be another hot month for much of the country, according to the Climate Prediction Center’s latest forecast. Cities that are already baking could continue their hot streak while other places that have escaped the worst could still warm up a bit in the latter part of summer.