The effect of temporal data aggregation to assess the impact of changing temperatures in Europe: an epidemiological modelling study Author links open overlay panel

Author: Joan Ballester, Kim Robin van Daalen, Zhao-Yue Chen, Hicham Achebak, Josep M. Antó, Xavier Basagaña, Jean-Marie Robine, François R. Herrmann, Cathryn Tonne, Jan C. Semenza & Rachel Lowe

Year: 2024

Published in: The Lancet Regional Health - Europe

Daily time-series regression models are commonly used to estimate the lagged nonlinear relation between temperature and mortality. A major impediment to this type of analysis is the restricted access to daily health records. The use of weekly and monthly data represents a possible solution unexplored to date.

The present work represents a first reference study validating the use of weekly time series as an approximation to the short-term effects of cold and heat on human mortality. This approach can be adopted to complement access-restricted data networks, and facilitate data access for research, translation and policy-making.